Robotaxi Expansion(s)

Yesterday, just 22 days since the initial launch, Tesla Robotaxi network expanded roughly to double the area.1

I post this because, in a world full of noise, this is a clear SIGNAL – the second data point validating our thesis that Tesla is developing a general autonomous vehicle solution through AI. Me thinks this data is to be frequently updated.

UPDATE(s):

Robotaxi Service Area (km2)

Service area is geo-fenced and operational for paying public to use trough the Tesla Robotaxi app.

2025 Oct 28, Phase 5 Expansion (Austin) –637 km² (+145)
2025 Sep 15, Bay Area Launch – 1,429 km² (+1429)
2025 Sep 04, Phase 4 + Public App – 492 km² (+49)
2025 Aug 26, Phase 3 Expansion – 443 km² (+223)2
2025 Aug 03, Phase 2 Expansion – 220 km² (+111)
2025 Jul 14, Phase 1 Expansion – 109 km² (+62)
2025 Jun 22, Inception Launch (Austin) – 47 km²

Also I’m keeping track of other relevant service updates:

2026 Mar 31, Unsupervised geo fence expansion to 635 km² (slighty smaller than supervised)

2026 Feb 17, First Cybercab production unit completed

2026 Jan 23, Unsupervised public rides launched (Austin, unsupervised limited to the original 47 km² geo fence and limited number of cars).

2025 Dec 14, First robotaxi spotted in public streets without safety monitor

2025 Nov 18, Service opened up for general public. No waiting list. Download the app and ride.

2025 Sep 04, Robotaxi App available for general public (iOS only, waiting list to use the service)

2025 Jun 22, Service inception (47 km², iOS only, invite only)

NOISE:

FUNNY NOISE:

  1. https://x.com/i/grok/share/VbUvDXrtGcCytxy932yoAixYU ↩︎
  2. https://www.notateslaapp.com/news/3062/tesla-expands-robotaxi-service-area-again-reclaims-top-spot-over-waymo ↩︎

Robotaxi launched in Austin Tx (and first autonomous delivery from factory to client)

This week was full of good news about Tesla autonomous driving efforts.

First we had the launch in Austin Texas of the Tesla robotaxi network. The service, as expected started as a limited beta, with a very small fleet, geofenced do Austin, invite only to a group of Tesla hardcore fans, and with a safety supervisor in the passenger seat.

More than words, take a couple of minutes to contemplate what we are talking about:

Remember this program is just the beginning, the safety supervisor will be removed and the geofence will expand over time. Great thing with tech it builds on itself, so this will only get better over time.

Polymarket a global betting platform gives right now a 67% probability of Tesla launching until the end of the year a fully driverless taxi service to the general public.

Second, and imho even more impressive, we had this week the first autonomous delivery of a Tesla from factory to a customer without anybody in the car. Yes, the damn car drove itself without a safety supervisor from the factory end of line to the customer house 30 minutes away. Again please take a couple of minutes and watch for yourself this modern time voodoo:

Full video to enjoy at normal 1x speed here.

As always it’s important to remember why you won’t see any of this reported on the main stream media, or maybe bluntly reported with a very negative spin. Global automakers spent $42.4 billion on advertising in 2022, yet Tesla spends zero.12

We are 3 and half years since my original post recommending Tesla and only 36% up, but now the cars can drive themselves.

  1. https://www.warc.com/newsandopinion/opinion/automotive-ad-investment-remains-stuck-in-reverse-gear/en-gb/6123 ↩︎
  2. https://www.marketingcharts.com/industries/automotive-industries-229055 ↩︎